The objective is to score the most points by shooting the ball through the team’s hoop.
Points determine bet results. Basketball betting analysis starts with a look at how many points are scored by teams. Individual player points are also counted.
Both the NBA and college games are stats heavy sports. The volume of games played can help you in determining a betting edge. There's also an enormous level of scoring data available.
The NBA rules allow only five players for a team on the court at any time. This means individual players scoring stats provide a critical analysis source.
There are usually two to three players that consistently lead the team in scoring. Tracking how well those few players perform is important for bet selection.
Scoring stats are known as field goals and tracked by field goal percentage. Percentages for both 2-point and 3-point field goals are essential for performance evaluation.
Game duration is another important rule consideration in betting analysis. An NBA match has a total playing time period of 48 minutes, with four 12-minute quarters.
NCAA college rules have the game duration set at a total of 40 minutes, divided into two 20 minutes halves. The game duration is important to consider when analyzing:
- Point totals
- Foul limits
- Player minutes
These are key when considering bets on the NBA and college basketball.
Fouls are the consequence of breaking the playing rules. As an example:
Fouls for contact in the act of shooting can provide the opponent with “free throws”. These can be worth either 2 or 3 points, depending on where on the court the violation occurred.
NBA players that incur six penalties will be removed from the contest. Players with 2 or 3 fouls early in the game, often spend more time on the bench. The “foul trouble” situation has to be managed well. This is to make sure the player is available in key situations over the game’s duration.
With the shorter time limit of college basketball matches, the foul out limit is only 5 personal fouls.
These violations lead to scoring opportunities for the opposition. Fouls can limit players' time on the court. It can also have a significant impact on a team’s ability to keep its best five players on the court.
Pay attention to teams that have a high foul shot percentage. Foul shooting, especially in the closing minutes of a game can make a real betting difference.
There are other rule violations that can impact a team’s performance. This can also affect the expected outcome of a basketball bet. These would include double dribbling, traveling, and other ball handling violations. These rules violations along with an errant pass, all fall into the category of turnovers.
Turnovers give the ball and scoring opportunities for the other team. Fouls and turnovers slow a team down and can change a well-analyzed bet into a bust.
How well a team performs in basketball is an important aspect of the comparative analysis that goes into effective bet selection.